Dixville Notch: The Pioneering Voting Tradition and 2024 Election Results

How did New Hampshire's Dixville Notch vote on Election Day 2024? See the results There was a presidential tie at Dixville Notch in New Hampshire, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump earning three votes each in the first Election Day vote. Polling in the township opened at midnight on Tuesday, and
HomeLocal2024 Presidential Showdown: Current Polls Pitting Harris Against Trump on Election Day

2024 Presidential Showdown: Current Polls Pitting Harris Against Trump on Election Day

 

2024 Presidential Election Polls: Latest Insights on Harris vs. Trump Election Day


As polling stations open across the nation, the competition for the presidency remains extremely competitive based on the latest national surveys.

 

Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris are engaged in a tightly contested battle for the presidency. Both candidates have been working hard in key swing states to sway voters in their favor. With Election Day upon us, Americans across the country are prepared to voice their choices at the polls.

Voters are considering significant issues such as the economy, immigration, abortion, and democracy – all of which have consistently topped polls among American concerns.

Here’s a summary of the most recent national polling data as voters head to the polls:

 

Ipsos Poll Shows Harris Slightly Ahead of Trump

According to the latest Ipsos Core Political poll released on Monday, Vice President Harris has a slim 2-point advantage over former President Trump.

 

The survey, which involved 1,242 adults, reported Harris at 50% and Trump at 48%. This poll was conducted from Friday to Sunday and has a margin of error of three percentage points.

Regarding the issues, 42% of respondents favor Trump’s strategies on the economy and foreign relations, while 45% believe he is better at handling immigration. On the other hand, 42% prefer Harris’ healthcare policies, and 39% think she can best address political extremism and threats to democracy.

 

A majority of Americans (57%) express disapproval of President Joe Biden’s job performance, but a lower percentage, 48%, feel the same about Vice President Harris. Furthermore, slightly more Americans view Harris positively (45%) compared to Trump (42%). Harris’ net favorability (-5%) is also better than Trump’s (-12%) across the nation.

Trump Leads Harris in TIPP Poll

The latest TIPP Tracking Poll, released on Tuesday, reveals an extremely close race with Trump holding a minimal .3-point advantage over Harris.

 

This online poll of 1,863 likely voters shows Trump at 48.6% and Harris at 48.3%, with a margin of error of 2.3 points.

The poll suggests that late-deciding voters often tilt in favor of the challenger, which could provide Trump an advantage on Election Day – a common trend for those undecided who are skeptical of the current administration.

Harris Leads Trump in Marist/PBS/NPR National Poll

In the final national poll from Marist, released Monday, Harris holds a four-point lead over Trump.

This survey, covering 1,297 likely voters and sponsored by NPR and PBS, finds 51% support for Harris, compared to 47% for Trump, with the remaining 2% favoring a third-party candidate. This figure lies outside the poll’s ±3.5 percentage point margin of error.

The poll indicates Harris has made significant gains among male voters, although Trump still leads in this demographic 51%-47%, a dramatic reduction from a previous 16-point advantage. Harris’s lead among women is pronounced at 55%-45%, though it has decreased from 18 points in previous data.

 

Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, commented that while Harris is in a strong position to win the popular vote, her path to achieving 270 votes in the Electoral College is narrow. Trump’s candidacy faces challenges due to his low favorability ratings among likely voters.

 

Harris and Trump Tied in Forbes/HarrisX Poll

In the most recent Forbes/HarrisX national poll released late Monday, Harris and Trump are virtually evenly matched.

 

Harris has a slight advantage with 49% to Trump’s 48% among 4,520 registered voters, with 3% favoring third-party candidates. When asked to choose only between Harris and Trump, her lead narrows to 49%-47%, with 4% undecided.

The survey was conducted online from October 30 to November 1, carrying a ±1% margin of error.

Among the top issues for respondents, “price increases/inflation” was cited by 36% as a major concern, while immigration and the economy were pivotal for 32% and 31% respectively. Abortion followed as the fourth most important issue for 16% of participants.

 

Dritan Nesho, CEO and chief pollster at HarrisX, which has no connections to Kamala Harris, stated, “The outcome will hinge on voter turnout tomorrow, particularly for Trump. His previous elections in 2016 and 2020 show he has an exceptional ability to motivate low-propensity voters and secure undecided voters who finalize their choices at the last moment.”

Key Insights on Polling

The margin of error indicates the reliability of the survey results in reflecting the larger population.

When a candidate’s lead falls within the margin of error, it is classified as a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

Pew has noted that many polling organizations have revised their methodologies since the 2016 and 2020 elections.

Trump’s performance was often viewed as being underrated.