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HomeSportChampionship Game Forecast: Expert Predictions for the AFC and NFC Showdowns

Championship Game Forecast: Expert Predictions for the AFC and NFC Showdowns

 

Predictions for NFL Playoffs: Who Will Win AFC and NFC Championship Games?


The NFL playoffs have reached the final three games, where the victors of the AFC and NFC championship games this Sunday will move on to Super Bowl 59.

 

The weekend’s action kicks off with the NFC championship game, featuring the Philadelphia Eagles facing off against the Washington Commanders—a team that surprised many by making it this far under their new head coach Dan Quinn. The Eagles (14-3) secured their spot by defeating the Los Angeles Rams 28-22, highlighted by three impressive rushing touchdowns, each over 44 yards. The Commanders (12-5) pulled off an unexpected 45-31 victory against the top-seeded Detroit Lions, thanks largely to a phenomenal 28-point second quarter.

Next in line is the AFC championship game, where the Buffalo Bills (13-4) will battle the Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) in a playoff rematch. Last year’s encounter saw the Chiefs narrowly triumph in a thrilling finish. Buffalo advanced this year with a close 27-25 win, benefiting from key turnovers by the Baltimore Ravens. Meanwhile, Kansas City overcame the Houston Texans 23-14, though the game was marred by contentious officiating decisions that favored the Chiefs.

Let’s take a look at what experts, analysts, and statistical models predict for the AFC and NFC championship games on Sunday:

 

Predictions and Picks for NFL Conference Championship Games

Odds provided by BetMGM as of Monday, Jan. 20

 

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles

  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 26
  • Time: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, Pa.)
  • TV: Fox
  • Streaming: Fubo
  • Spread: Eagles (-5.5)

 

∎ YSL News: Eagles 24, Commanders 21

“The Eagles may be one of the few teams capable of capitalizing on Daniels’ tendency for turnovers; he threw three interceptions in two games against Philadelphia. Regardless, this matchup is bound to be thrilling. If the calm Daniels manages another upset, he could become the first rookie quarterback to start in a Super Bowl. However, the Eagles’ strong running game and seasoned players like Hurts and Barkley should give them a slight advantage.”

∎ ESPN: Eagles favored to win, but beware the spread.

“I believe the betting line is overrating the Eagles by about a point or two. The Commanders have already defeated the Eagles this season. Even in the divisional round, the Eagles had a 200-plus rushing yard performance and a plus-two turnover margin against the Rams but still failed to cover the spread. I selected Philly to win the NFC, and I stand by that, yet I believe the line should give the Commanders a bit more credit.”

 

∎ Sporting News: Commanders take it 31-27

“The Commanders carry significant momentum after victories against the Buccaneers and Lions, while the Eagles have edged past teams that made more errors. Washington seems poised to continue their surprising run, whereas Philadelphia appears to be on the brink of a letdown.”

 

∎ The Athletic: Eagles have a 68% chance of defeating the Commanders.

Catch Commanders vs. Eagles on Fubo

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 26
  • Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
  • TV: CBS
  • Streaming: Paramount+, Fubo
  • Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)

∎ YSL News: Chiefs 27, Bills 24

“Allen and the Bills will certainly put in a strong effort, but the Chiefs might be able to disrupt Buffalo’s offense – which currently lacks a standout No. 1 receiver – just enough to secure a win. Playing at home in Kansas City should provide the Chiefs with the necessary edge to reach a third consecutive Super Bowl.”

∎ The Athletic: Chiefs given a 54% chance of clinching the win.

∎ Sporting News: Chiefs win 27-24 in another thrilling finish.

“The Chiefs have the advantage of home-field and are a more balanced team across all departments. They are also likely to benefit from favorable officiating and potential non-calls on penalties.”

 

∎ ESPN: Favor the Chiefs

“While Buffalo effectively took advantage of Baltimore’s numerous mistakes, can you realistically rely on another +3 turnover margin to succeed in the AFC Championship? Moreover, keep in mind the consistent trend of officiating favoring Mahomes; since their encounter with the Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV, the Chiefs have seen significantly fewer penalties than their playoff opponents.”

Catch Bills vs. Chiefs on Paramount+