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Harris and Trump in a Tight Race: New Poll Shows a Narrow Margin

 

 

Harris’s margin over Trump narrows to 46% compared to 43%, according to Reuters/Ipsos poll


The earlier version of this article inaccurately reflected a previous poll and has now been revised to include the latest updates.

 

WASHINGTON, Oct 8 (Reuters) – Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris holds a slim lead over Republican Donald Trump, edging him 46% to 43%, as the two continue a tight contest for the upcoming U.S. presidential election on November 5, based on a fresh Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The four-day poll, finalized on Monday, revealed that Trump, who was behind Harris by six points in a prior Reuters/Ipsos survey taken from September 20-23, is regarded as the preferred candidate for various economic matters. Some voters may be attracted to his claims suggesting that undocumented immigrants contribute to crime, claims largely dismissed by experts and research institutions.

 

The poll has a margin of error of roughly three percentage points.

When asked about the primary concerns for the nation, most respondents indicated that the economy was paramount, with around 44% believing Trump had the better strategy for tackling the “cost of living,” whereas 38% favored Harris.

 

In terms of economic priorities that the next president must handle, approximately 70% of those surveyed pointed to the cost of living as the foremost issue, while only small percentages highlighted concerns about the job market, taxes, or general financial improvement. Trump received more support than Harris in these areas, although 42% believed Harris was better suited to address the wealth gap between the rich and the average citizen compared to 35% for Trump.

 

Trump’s campaign appears to be energized by rising worries about immigration—currently recognized as a pronounced issue by Americans. In the poll, 53% concurred with the notion that “undocumented immigrants pose a threat to public safety,” while only 41% disagreed. This represents a significant shift from a May Reuters/Ipsos poll where the numbers were more evenly split: 45% in agreement versus 46% in disagreement.

 

Throughout his campaign rallies, Trump has highlighted crimes associated with undocumented immigrants. However, data regarding the immigration status of offenders is scarce, and research generally indicates that immigrants are not more likely than U.S.-born citizens to commit crimes.

Harris consistently outpaced Trump in each of the six Reuters/Ipsos surveys concerning their matchup since her entry into the race in late July. The most recent poll indicated she led Trump by two percentage points—47% to 45%—among likely voters planned to vote in November. Roughly two-thirds of eligible voters participated in the 2020 presidential election, based on estimates from the Pew Research Center.

 

In terms of cognitive capabilities, the latest poll showed voters rated Harris more favorably than Trump, with 55% affirming that she is “mentally sharp and capable of managing challenges,” in contrast with 46% for Trump.

Although national polls like those from Reuters/Ipsos provide valuable insights into voter sentiment, the outcome hinges on state-level results in the Electoral College, where seven battleground states are expected to play crucial roles. Current polling indicates that Harris and Trump remain very competitive in these states, with many results falling within margins of error.

 

Harris entered the presidential race after Democratic President Joe Biden exited his reelection campaign following a challenging debate against Trump in June. At that time, Trump was perceived as the frontrunner, largely due to his supposed strength on economic issues amid high inflation rates during Biden’s presidency.

The most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted online included responses from 1,272 U.S. adults nationwide, with 1,076 of them being registered voters, and 969 identified as most likely to vote on Election Day.