This week marks the first quarter of the college football season, and as Week 4 unfolds, the playoff picture begins to take shape with the start of conference games. This leads to some updates in the bowl projections.

A crucial matchup occurs on Saturday when Oklahoma hosts Tennessee, marking the Sooners’ first season in the SEC. Tennessee is favored to win, which would allow them to surpass Mississippi as the fourth SEC team eligible for the playoff. Although the competition between the two teams is tight, Tennessee’s potential win gives them the edge for the moment.

Additionally, there’s a notable shift with Kansas State moving up, trading spots with Utah in the Big 12 standings. Following their impressive victory over Arizona, the Wildcats now occupy a position typically held by conference champions, while the Utes drop to an at-large berth. This might lead to further changes as Utah faces Oklahoma State in an important league match.

Important Note: Former Pac-12 schools in different conferences will fulfill existing bowl commitments linked to the Pac-12 until the conclusion of the 2025 season.